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Analysis: Illegal-Immigrant Population Dropping

A new study being released by the Center for the Immigration Studies reports "significant decline" in illegal immigration population since last summer. One of the arguments for better enforcement of our current immigration laws was that a natural bi-product would be that it would change the risk and economic equation for many illegal immigrants who would return home (or reconsider coming in the first place). It's the concept of reducing the number of illegal immigration by natural attrition. This seems to affirm that the enforcement so far is working (though perhaps its still not enough).

As the release notes, the study "examines the extent to which stepped-up enforcement and the downturn in the economy account for this trend."

I'm a little out of the loop these days as I have not been following the news as much as I did before, so I'm wondering--is the economy "in fact" slowing, or is it a lot of normal fluctuations (and the increased cost of oil) hyped-up by the doom-and-gloom liberal media? I don't know the numbers, but I would not be surprised to hear some Democrat find some connection between the dropping illegal immigrant population and the slowing economy and lay blame on the Bush administration for its work in securing our borders and curbing illegal immigration (as little as it might be).

WASHINGTON (July 25, 2008) — A new analysis by the Center for Immigration Studies of monthly data collected by the Census Bureau shows that the illegal immigrant population has declined significantly between last summer and May of this year. The study is the first to find quantitative evidence that illegal immigrants are leaving the country. It also examines the extent to which stepped-up enforcement and the downturn in the economy account for this trend.

The report, entitled 'Homeward Bound: Recent Immigration Enforcement and the Decline in the Illegal Alien Population,' is embargoed until Wednesday, July 30th at 2:30 pm. The study will be available online at www.cis.org. Advance copies are available to the media.

The Center will formally release the report at a press conference on Wednesday, July 30th at 2:30 pm in room 1309 of the Longworth House Office Building. The report’s lead author, Dr. Steven Camarota will be joined by Representatives John Barrow (D-GA), Lamar Smith (R-TX), Tom Feeney (R-FL) and Heath Shuler (D-NC) to discuss the implications of the study.

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